The NFL is down to one final weekend of the regular season, giving teams one final chance to claim their spot in the playoffs. This weekend’s games, including two on Saturday and 14 on Sunday, is full of playoff implications. Who will clinch a division title? Which teams will make up the three wild card teams for each side of the bracket? We keep up with everything happening throughout the weekend, updating the standing as games go final and keeping up with all of the clinching scenarios.
Entering the weekend, the AFC playoff picture includes the Baltimore Ravens having clinched the AFC North and the number one seed, giving them a bye during Wild Card Weekend next week and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. The Miami Dolphins, holding on to the second seed position, have claimed a berth in the playoffs, but are still playing for the AFC East division title and to secure their claim on the second spot. The Kansas City Chiefs, locked into the third seed, have clinched the AFC West title. The Cleveland Browns are locked into the fifth seed as the top wild card team.
The Jacksonville Jaguars are currently the fourth seed as the leader in the AFC South, but they have not clinched the spot nor the division. The Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts could both surpass the Jaguars and find themselves the division champions by the end of the weekend. The Pittsburgh Steelers and Buffalo Bills are also both in the fight for a playoff berth, with Pittsburgh hoping for a wild card spot while the Bills could win the AFC East over Miami, be either the sixth or seventh seed as a wild card team, or find themselves on the wrong side of the playoff cut line.
The NFC playoff picture has the San Francisco 49ers locked into the top spot as the NFC West division winner. The Dallas Cowboys are currently the second seed, but they still need to be locked into that spot, with the Philadelphia Eagles, currently the top wild card team, also able to claim the NFC East division title. The Detroit Lions, the NFC North division champions, are in the third position, with a slim possibility of sliding up into the second seed if the Cowboys and Eagles both stumble. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are currently the fourth seed, but they have not yet clinched the NFC South, with both the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons still in the hunt.
With the fifth seed going to whichever NFC East team, Dallas or Philadelphia, does not win the division, the sixth seed is held by the Los Angeles Rams, who are locked into the playoffs but could slip down to the seventh seed with a loss and a Green Bay Packers win. The Packers, Seattle Seahawks, Minnesota Vikings, Buccaneers, and Saints are all in contention for the seventh seed.
Note: In past weeks, we have included the elimination scenarios throughout the week. This week, we did not include them because they are just the opposite of the clinching scenarios. As one team clinches, another will see all of their scenarios end, essentially giving us the elimination scenarios as well.
Here are the current standings for both the AFC and NFC.
Last Update: 11:25 p.m. ET, Saturday
AFC playoff picture (through Week 17 Saturday games):
1 – Baltimore Ravens (13-4, AFC North leader)xyz*
2 – Miami Dolphins (11-5, AFC East leader)x
3 – Kansas City Chiefs (10-6, AFC West leader)y
4 – Houston Texans (10-7, AFC South leader)x*
5 – Cleveland Browns (11-5, Wild Card 1 position)x
6 – Buffalo Bills (10-6, Wild Card 2 position)
7 – Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7, Wild Card 3 position)*
Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7)
Eliminated:
Indianapolis Colts (9-8)*
Denver Broncos (8-8)
Cincinnati Bengals (8-8)
Las Vegas Raiders (7-9)
New York Jets (6-10)
Tennessee Titans (5-11)
Los Angeles Chargers (5-11)
New England Patriots (4-12)
x Playoff berth clinched
y Division title clinched
z Homefield advantage/first-round bye clinched
*Week 18 game completed
Tiebreaks:
- Broncos over Bengals based on AFC winning percentage
- Titans over Chargers based on head-to-head results
AFC Clinching Scenarios Week 17:
Bills clinch AFC East title with:
Bills clinch wild card berth with:
- Bills tie OR
-
Steelers loss/tieOR - Jaguars loss/tie OR
Texans-Colts tie
Dolphins clinch AFC title with:
Steelers clinch wild card berth with:
- Steelers win and Bills loss OR
- Steelers win and Jaguars loss/tie OR
-
Steelers win and
Texans-Colts tieOR -
Steelers tieand Jaguars loss andTexans-Colts do not tieOR - Jagaurs loss and Broncos win and
Texans-Colts do not tie
Colts clinch AFC South title with: (Eliminated from AFC South title)
-
Colts winand Jaguars loss/tie OR -
Colts tieand Jaguars loss
Colts clinch wild card berth with: (Eliminated from playoff)
-
Colts winOR -
Colts tieandSteelers loss/tie
Jaguars clinch AFC South with:
- Jaguars win OR
- Jaguars tie and
Texans-Colts tie
Jaguars clinch wild card berth with: (Jaguars eliminated from wild card consideration)
- Jaguars tie and
Steelers loss/tie -
Steelers lossand Broncos loss/tie andTexans-Colts do not tie
Texans clinch AFC South title with:
- Texans win and Jaguars loss/tie
Texans clinch wild card berth with: (Clinched playoff spot if not AFC South title)
- Texans win OR
- Texans tie and Jaguars loss and
Steelers loss/tie
NFC Playoff Picture (through Week 17)
1 – San Francisco 49ers (12-4, NFC West leader)xyz
2 – Dallas Cowboys (11-5, NFC East leader)x
3 – Detroit Lions (11-5, NFC North leader)y
4 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-8, NFC South leader)
5 – Philadelphia Eagles (11-5, Wild Card 1 position)x
6 – Los Angeles Rams (9-7, Wild Card 2 position)x
7 – Green Bay Packers (8-8, Wild Card 3 position)
Seattle Seahawks (8-8)
New Orleans Saints (8-8)
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Atlanta Falcons (7-9)*
Eliminated:
Chicago Bears (7-9)*
New York Giants (5-11)
Washington Commanders (4-12)
Arizona Cardinals (4-12)
Carolina Panthers (2-14)
x Playoff berth clinched
y Division title clinched
*Note: The Bears are ahead of the Falcons in the standings, but the Falcons have not been eliminated from the NFC South division title, keeping them above the “Eliminated” group.
Tiebreaks:
- Cowboys over Eagles based on NFC winning percentage (divisional tiebreak); Cowboys over Lions based on head-to-head results
- Buccaneers over Saints based on common games winning percentage
- Packers over Seahawks based on strength of victory; Packers over Saints based on NFC winning percentage
- Seahawks over Saints based on NFC winning percentage
- Vikings over Bears based on common games winning percentage (divisional tiebreak); Vikings over Falcons based on head-to-head results
- Bears over Falcons based on head-to-head results
- Commanders over Cardinals based on head-to-head results
NFC Clinching Scenarios Week 17
Cowboys clinch NFC East title with:
- Cowboys win OR
- Cowboys tie and Eagles tie OR
- Eagles loss
Eagles clinch NFC East title with:
- Eagles win and Cowboys loss/tie OR
- Eagles tie and Cowboys loss
Packers clinch wild card berth with:
- Packers win OR
- Packers tie and Seahawks loss/tie or Saints loss/tie OR
- Packers tie and Seahawks loss and Buccaneers loss OR
- Packers tie and Seahawks tie and Buccaneers loss/tie OR
- Vikings loss/tie and Seahawks loss and Buccaneers loss OR
- Vikings loss/tie and Seahawks loss and Saints loss
Vikings clinch wild card berth with:
- Vikings win and Packers loss and Seahawks loss and Buccaneers loss OR
- Vikings win and Packers loss and Seahawks loss and Saints loss
Buccaneers clinch NFC South title with:
- Buccaneers win OR
- Buccaneers tie and Saints loss/tie
Buccaneers clinch wild card berth with:
- Buccaneers tie and Seahawks loss and Packers loss/tie
Falcons clinch NFC South title with:
- Falcons win and Buccaneers loss
Saints clinch NFC South title with:
- Saints and and Buccaneers loss/tie OR
- Saints tie and Buccaneers loss
Saints clinch wild card berth with:
- Saints win and Seahawks loss/tie and Packers loss/tie OR
- Saints tie and Seahawks loss and Packers loss
Seahawks clinch wild card berth with:
- Seahawks win and Packers loss/tie OR
- Seahawks tie and Packers loss and Buccaneers loss/tie OR
- Seahawks tie and Packers loss and Saints loss/tie